The full extent of the drought’s impact on the number of acres of rice planted this year is unknowable at this time. There are simply too many factors left to play out before our last fields are planted for anyone to know the final outcome.

The things that rice farmers are looking at include: how much surface water is available; can I pump groundwater; are prices going to be enough to offset increased pumping costs? Finally, will it rain more between now and the middle of May? (We certainly hope so!)

By early June, the crop will be planted and we will know the answer to the rice supply question. Until then each day will bring new information – both good and not as good, that will help California rice farmers and the communities they live in absorb the realities that the Sacramento Valley will be facing.

There will be many lessons we learn from the way we have managed our water resources over the past several decades.

The California Department of Water Resources (DWR) and the State Water Resources Control Board on Friday made announcements and took additional action in response to the dry conditions in California. DWR provided that: “except for a small amount of carryover water from 2013, customers of the State Water Project (SWP) will get no deliveries in 2014 if current dry conditions persist and deliveries to agricultural districts with long-standing water rights in the Sacramento Valley may be cut 50 percent — the maximum permitted by contract — depending upon future snow survey results. It is important to note that almost all areas served by the SWP have other sources of water, such as groundwater, local reservoirs, and other supplies.”

As we are now seeing throughout the state, 2013 was the driest year on record for California. The convergence of low carryover storage in reservoirs, coupled with minimal inflow into these reservoirs so far this year, has water resources managers in the Sacramento Valley concerned with our ability to serve water for cities and rural communities, farms, birds, fish and recreation. In the Sacramento Valley, water suppliers are facing significantly reduced surface water allocations, including certain parts of the Valley that will receive no surface water. This includes residential supplies in the Sacramento metropolitan area that depend upon water from Folsom Lake, as well as farms and wildlife management areas.